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Debre Markos University offers a Browse by Title feature within its Institutional Research Repository System that enables users to easily find and access academic research outputs by their titles. This feature organizes theses, dissertations, and other scholarly works alphabetically or by keyword in the title, allowing researchers, students, and the community to quickly locate specific documents when they know all or part of a title. By focusing on titles, users can efficiently explore the repository's collection and discover relevant research materials without needing to search by author or department.

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Research Papers by Title Sorted alphabetically A-Z
Personal Protective Equipment Utilization and Determinant Factors Among Workers in Phibela Edible Oil Factory, West Gojjam, Ethiopia
Journal Article
Abraham Teym 1 , Eniyew Tegegne 1 , Getasew Yirdaw 1 , Lake Kumlachew 1 , Temesgen Ayenew 2 , Mahmud Ahmednur 3 , Tirsit Ketsela Zeleke 4 , Alehegn Aderaw Alamneh 5 Submitted: Mar 11, 2025
College of Health Science Environmental Health
Abstract Preview:
Background: An edible oil factory is a labor-intensive and technologically complex industry, with workers potentially exposed to a variety of dangers associated with such industries. Personal protective equipment is a universal, legal requirement, and an important strategy for preventing occupational injuries and illnesses caused by workplace hazards. However, such industries receive little attention, especially in Ethiopia.
Objective: To assess personal protective equipment utilization and its associated factors among workers in the PhiBela edible oil factory in Burie, Ethiopia, in 2022.
Full Abstract:
Background: An edible oil factory is a labor-intensive and technologically complex industry, with workers potentially exposed to a variety of dangers associated with such industries. Personal protective equipment is a universal, legal requirement, and an important strategy for preventing occupational injuries and illnesses caused by workplace hazards. However, such industries receive little attention, especially in Ethiopia.
Objective: To assess personal protective equipment utilization and its associated factors among workers in the PhiBela edible oil factory in Burie, Ethiopia, in 2022.
Methods: A cross-sectional study was employed among the PhiBela edible oil factory workers in Burie. A simple random sampling technique was used to select 389 PhiBela edible oil factory workers. Face-to-face interviews and self-administered structured questionnaires were used to collect data on workers' protective equipment utilization practice, socio-demographic, work-related, environmental, and organizational factors. Data was analyzed using SPSS version 25. The logistic regression method was used to see factors associated with workers' protective equipment utilization. The strength of the association was calculated using an odds ratio at 95% confidence intervals.
Results: Of the total workers, 216, 55.52% (48.33-57.78) workers utilize personal protective equipment in the factory. The study showed safety training [AOR (4.68, 95%CI (2.76-7.45)], availability of personal protective equipment [AOR = 4.86; 95%CI: 2.23-6.98], regular health and safety supervision [AOR = 2.751; 95%CI: 1.806-3.801], availability of safety guideline at workplace [AOR = 3.798; 95%CI: 1.248-6.173], having work experience 3 years and above [AOR = 1.64; 95%CI: 1.06-2.18], not using alcohol [AOR = 3.07; 95%CI: 2.11-4.76], and not smoking cigarette [AOR = 1.88; 95%CI: 1.55-3.11] were predictors of personal protective equipment utilization.
Conclusion: The level of personal protective equipment utilization among Phibela edible oil factory workers is 55.52%, which is moderate when compared to other studies done in developing countries. The presence of Safety training, availability of personal protective equipment, regular health and safety supervision, availability of guidelines at workplaces, having work experiences, not using alcohol, and cigarrete smoking were factors found to be a significant predictors of personal protective equipment utilization. As a result, close workplace supervision, safety training, and availing guidelines are the recommendations to be in place.

Keywords: Ethiopia; Utilization; factory worker; personal protective equipment.
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Personal Protective Equipment Utilization and Determinant Factors Among Workers in Phibela Edible Oil Factory, West Gojjam, Ethiopia
Journal Article
Abraham Teym 1 , Eniyew Tegegne 1 , Getasew Yirdaw 1 , Lake Kumlachew 1 , Temesgen Ayenew 2 , Mahmud Ahmednur 3 , Tirsit Ketsela Zeleke 4 , Alehegn Aderaw Alamneh 5 Submitted: Mar 11, 2025
College of Health Science Environmental Health
Abstract Preview:
Background: An edible oil factory is a labor-intensive and technologically complex industry, with workers potentially exposed to a variety of dangers associated with such industries. Personal protective equipment is a universal, legal requirement, and an important strategy for preventing occupational injuries and illnesses caused by workplace hazards. However, such industries receive little attention, especially in Ethiopia.
Objective: To assess personal protective equipment utilization and its associated factors among workers in the PhiBela edible oil factory in Burie, Ethiopia, in 2022.
Full Abstract:
Background: An edible oil factory is a labor-intensive and technologically complex industry, with workers potentially exposed to a variety of dangers associated with such industries. Personal protective equipment is a universal, legal requirement, and an important strategy for preventing occupational injuries and illnesses caused by workplace hazards. However, such industries receive little attention, especially in Ethiopia.
Objective: To assess personal protective equipment utilization and its associated factors among workers in the PhiBela edible oil factory in Burie, Ethiopia, in 2022.
Methods: A cross-sectional study was employed among the PhiBela edible oil factory workers in Burie. A simple random sampling technique was used to select 389 PhiBela edible oil factory workers. Face-to-face interviews and self-administered structured questionnaires were used to collect data on workers' protective equipment utilization practice, socio-demographic, work-related, environmental, and organizational factors. Data was analyzed using SPSS version 25. The logistic regression method was used to see factors associated with workers' protective equipment utilization. The strength of the association was calculated using an odds ratio at 95% confidence intervals.
Results: Of the total workers, 216, 55.52% (48.33-57.78) workers utilize personal protective equipment in the factory. The study showed safety training [AOR (4.68, 95%CI (2.76-7.45)], availability of personal protective equipment [AOR = 4.86; 95%CI: 2.23-6.98], regular health and safety supervision [AOR = 2.751; 95%CI: 1.806-3.801], availability of safety guideline at workplace [AOR = 3.798; 95%CI: 1.248-6.173], having work experience 3 years and above [AOR = 1.64; 95%CI: 1.06-2.18], not using alcohol [AOR = 3.07; 95%CI: 2.11-4.76], and not smoking cigarette [AOR = 1.88; 95%CI: 1.55-3.11] were predictors of personal protective equipment utilization.
Conclusion: The level of personal protective equipment utilization among Phibela edible oil factory workers is 55.52%, which is moderate when compared to other studies done in developing countries. The presence of Safety training, availability of personal protective equipment, regular health and safety supervision, availability of guidelines at workplaces, having work experiences, not using alcohol, and cigarrete smoking were factors found to be a significant predictors of personal protective equipment utilization. As a result, close workplace supervision, safety training, and availing guidelines are the recommendations to be in place.

Keywords: Ethiopia; Utilization; factory worker; personal protective equipment.
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Political Reform and religious violence in some Ethiopian Regions since 2018: Evidence from Sidama, Somali,and Oromia
Journal Article
Alene Agegnehu Waga a,*, Kelemu Zelalem Berhanu Submitted: Aug 14, 2024
Social Science and Humanities Political Science and International Relations
Abstract Preview:
In the post-1991 period, the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front clearly endorsed the separationof state and religion. More importantly, the government is obliged to deliver equal protection for the peacefulworshiping and well-being of religious institutions. However, there is little or no protection given to the Ethi-opian Orthodox Church and Christians, specifically in the post 2018 political transition. Therefore, this studyexamines the most devastating and selective murdering and slaughtering of Orthodox Christians and the de-molition of the church a few months after a new governmental transition took place in April 2018. To do so, thispaper applied the theory of “religious victimization” to analyze the interplay between the so-called politicalreform and religious practice since 2018. In this respect, a qualitative research approach with a case researchdesign was used: ten in-depth interviews, three focus group discussions, field observations, and secondarysources analysis. According to the findings, thematic analysis was applied by arranging items in the team basedon their similarities. The results of the study also revealed that there were mass killings and demolition of or-thodox Christian properties in the Ethio-Somalia, Oromia, and Sidama regions of Ethiopia. Vandalism wassupposed to be systematic and well-planned. In this study, the researchers strongly recommend that the gov-ernment identify intervention strategies to stop the atrocities of Ethiopian Christians.
Keywords: Church burnings, Demolition properties, Ethiopian orthodox church, Political transition, Religious freedom, Mass killings
Full Abstract:
In the post-1991 period, the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front clearly endorsed the separationof state and religion. More importantly, the government is obliged to deliver equal protection for the peacefulworshiping and well-being of religious institutions. However, there is little or no protection given to the Ethi-opian Orthodox Church and Christians, specifically in the post 2018 political transition. Therefore, this studyexamines the most devastating and selective murdering and slaughtering of Orthodox Christians and the de-molition of the church a few months after a new governmental transition took place in April 2018. To do so, thispaper applied the theory of “religious victimization” to analyze the interplay between the so-called politicalreform and religious practice since 2018. In this respect, a qualitative research approach with a case researchdesign was used: ten in-depth interviews, three focus group discussions, field observations, and secondarysources analysis. According to the findings, thematic analysis was applied by arranging items in the team basedon their similarities. The results of the study also revealed that there were mass killings and demolition of or-thodox Christian properties in the Ethio-Somalia, Oromia, and Sidama regions of Ethiopia. Vandalism wassupposed to be systematic and well-planned. In this study, the researchers strongly recommend that the gov-ernment identify intervention strategies to stop the atrocities of Ethiopian Christians.
Keywords: Church burnings, Demolition properties, Ethiopian orthodox church, Political transition, Religious freedom, Mass killings
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Potential Assessment of Coal Deposit in Debre Eliyas Woreda, East Gojjam Zone, Ethiopia.
Research Paper
Siham Adem Lecturer Principal-Investigator Geology/Petrology Address sihamadem2127@gmail.com Ajebush Wuletaw Lecturer CoInvestigator Geology/ Economic Geology ajebushwuletaw21@gmail.com Dawit Asmare Assistant Professor CoInvestigator Geology/Engineering Geology dawitasmare55@gmail.comAmare Getaneh Lecturer CoInvestigator Geology/ Hydrogeology amagetch@gmail.com Abrham Mulualem Lecturer CoInvestigator Geology/Geophysics mulubr2901@gmail.com Yohannes Gasu Lecturer CoInvestigator Geology/Hydrogeology yonaskalu21@gmail.com Submitted: Oct 30, 2025
Natural & Computational Sciences Geology
Abstract Preview:
ABSTRACT The present study was conducted to assess the potential occurrence of coal deposits in the East Gojjam zone, specifically in Debre Eliyas woreda. It also aims to determine the quality and quantity of coal through field and laboratory techniques. A total of twenty coal samples and twenty rock samples were systematically collected from surface outcrops and analyzed at the Geological Survey of Ethiopia. Major oxides in the rock units were determined using Atomic Absorption Spectrometry (AAS), while coal samples were subjected to Gravimetric, Proximate, and Adiabatic Calorimetric analyses to quantify moisture content, volatile matter, fixed carbon, ash content, and calorific value. The geologic setup of the study area is predominantly characterized by sedimentary rock, like Sandstone, limestone, mudstone, and basaltic rocks. Geochemical analysis of sandstone, mudstone, and limestone samples reveals distinct compositional characteristics that reflect their depositional environments and diagenetic processes, providing valuable insights for resource exploration and geotechnical assessments. A geological map at a scale of 1:25,000 and three coal occurrence maps at a 1:20,000 scale were prepared based on detailed field surveys and laboratory analyses. Chemical analysis of collected coal samples revealed moisture contents ranging from 2.32% to 29.72%, volatile matter from 20.01% to 37.29%, fixed carbon from 7.12% to 31.88%, ash content from 4.27% to 66.07%, and calorific values between 2,323.044 and 9,378.684 Cal/gm. The values indicate that the coal in Debre Eliyas ranges in rank from lignite to bituminous. Across all identified coal-bearing sites, the average seam thickness ranges from 2.35 to 5.13 meters. The total estimated coal resource of the study area is approximately 2,755,124.83 tons. Keywords: Debre Elias, Coal Deposit, Economic Potential, Calorific value
Full Abstract:
ABSTRACT The present study was conducted to assess the potential occurrence of coal deposits in the East Gojjam zone, specifically in Debre Eliyas woreda. It also aims to determine the quality and quantity of coal through field and laboratory techniques. A total of twenty coal samples and twenty rock samples were systematically collected from surface outcrops and analyzed at the Geological Survey of Ethiopia. Major oxides in the rock units were determined using Atomic Absorption Spectrometry (AAS), while coal samples were subjected to Gravimetric, Proximate, and Adiabatic Calorimetric analyses to quantify moisture content, volatile matter, fixed carbon, ash content, and calorific value. The geologic setup of the study area is predominantly characterized by sedimentary rock, like Sandstone, limestone, mudstone, and basaltic rocks. Geochemical analysis of sandstone, mudstone, and limestone samples reveals distinct compositional characteristics that reflect their depositional environments and diagenetic processes, providing valuable insights for resource exploration and geotechnical assessments. A geological map at a scale of 1:25,000 and three coal occurrence maps at a 1:20,000 scale were prepared based on detailed field surveys and laboratory analyses. Chemical analysis of collected coal samples revealed moisture contents ranging from 2.32% to 29.72%, volatile matter from 20.01% to 37.29%, fixed carbon from 7.12% to 31.88%, ash content from 4.27% to 66.07%, and calorific values between 2,323.044 and 9,378.684 Cal/gm. The values indicate that the coal in Debre Eliyas ranges in rank from lignite to bituminous. Across all identified coal-bearing sites, the average seam thickness ranges from 2.35 to 5.13 meters. The total estimated coal resource of the study area is approximately 2,755,124.83 tons. Keywords: Debre Elias, Coal Deposit, Economic Potential, Calorific value
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Potential influence of nitrogen fertilizer rates on yield and yield components of carrot (Dacus carota L.) in Ethiopia: Systematic review
Journal Article
Yohannes Gelaye and Sewnet Getahun Submitted: Jul 18, 2024
Agriculture and Natural resources Horticulture
Abstract Preview:
Abstract
Carrot is a significant root crop in Ethiopia but its production faces challenges such as nutrient loss and unfavorable growth conditions, which hinder its productivity. The objective of this review was to evaluate the impact of nitrogen fertilizer rates on carrot yield in Ethiopia. A systematic review using databases like PubMed and Scopus focused on peer-reviewed, English-language studies with quantitative data on nitrogen fertilizer and carrot yield in Ethiopia, excluding non-peer-reviewed articles and those lacking quantitative data or in other languages. Globally, carrot yields are 30–100 tons per hectare, but only 5.5 tons in Ethiopia. Carrots are rich in vitamins A, C, and B, proteins, minerals, and fiber, with vitamin C boosting immunity and aiding in wound healing and allergy management. Meanwhile, vitamin A plays a crucial role in vision, bone growth, immune function, and reproduction. It is a rich source of carotenoids and anthocyanins. The application of nitrogen fertilizer significantly improved carrot yield (root length, fresh weight, and dry weight). In Ethiopia, the use of nitrogen fertilizer affects the marketability and total yield of carrots, with small-scale farmers employing diverse rates for cultivation. Current recommendations suggest 69 kg/ha of phosphorus (P2O5) and 46 kg/ha of nitrogen, but farmers often do not follow these guidelines. In conclusion, optimizing nitrogen fertilizer usage is crucial for enhancing carrot yields among small farmers, underscoring the need for government support to tailor recommendations to local soil conditions and boost productivity.
Full Abstract:
Abstract
Carrot is a significant root crop in Ethiopia but its production faces challenges such as nutrient loss and unfavorable growth conditions, which hinder its productivity. The objective of this review was to evaluate the impact of nitrogen fertilizer rates on carrot yield in Ethiopia. A systematic review using databases like PubMed and Scopus focused on peer-reviewed, English-language studies with quantitative data on nitrogen fertilizer and carrot yield in Ethiopia, excluding non-peer-reviewed articles and those lacking quantitative data or in other languages. Globally, carrot yields are 30–100 tons per hectare, but only 5.5 tons in Ethiopia. Carrots are rich in vitamins A, C, and B, proteins, minerals, and fiber, with vitamin C boosting immunity and aiding in wound healing and allergy management. Meanwhile, vitamin A plays a crucial role in vision, bone growth, immune function, and reproduction. It is a rich source of carotenoids and anthocyanins. The application of nitrogen fertilizer significantly improved carrot yield (root length, fresh weight, and dry weight). In Ethiopia, the use of nitrogen fertilizer affects the marketability and total yield of carrots, with small-scale farmers employing diverse rates for cultivation. Current recommendations suggest 69 kg/ha of phosphorus (P2O5) and 46 kg/ha of nitrogen, but farmers often do not follow these guidelines. In conclusion, optimizing nitrogen fertilizer usage is crucial for enhancing carrot yields among small farmers, underscoring the need for government support to tailor recommendations to local soil conditions and boost productivity.

Keywords: carrot yield; carrot production; nitrogen fertilizer; nutrient management
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Practices and challenges of urban land governance in Debre Markos City Administration
Journal Article
Moges Atalele Tilahun and Getachew Melaku Tesema Submitted: Dec 11, 2025
Social Science and Humanities Political Science and International Relations
Abstract Preview:
The primary objective of this study was to investigate the practices and challenges of good governance in urban land administration, with a particular focus on the Debre Markos City Administration. The study selected the Debre Markos City Administration Municipality service office as a case study. This study employed a mixed research approach, and data were collected through questionnaire and interview methods obtained from both public servants and customers. The data was analysed through descriptive analysis. Based on the analysis conducted using three core elements of good governance—transparency, accountability, and responsiveness, the study found that there were poor practices of good governance in urban land administration. On the other hand, the study investigated various challenges of good governance in urban land administration, which emanate from personal, administrative, and socio-economic problems such as the absence of innovative figures of land registration, lack of monitoring and evaluation, inadequate institutional performance, and absence of reward and punishment systems. In general, the findings of this study revealed that due to various challenges, there were poor practices of good governance in terms of transparency, accountability, and responsiveness in the study area. These challenges impede people’s access to quality service in urban areas and undermine the trust between citizens and the government. Finally, enhancing institutional capacity, consistent implementations of monitoring and evaluation, innovative figures of land registration, and giving corrective measures for wrongdoers were stated as recommendations.
Full Abstract:
The primary objective of this study was to investigate the practices and challenges of good governance in urban land administration, with a particular focus on the Debre Markos City Administration. The study selected the Debre Markos City Administration Municipality service office as a case study. This study employed a mixed research approach, and data were collected through questionnaire and interview methods obtained from both public servants and customers. The data was analysed through descriptive analysis. Based on the analysis conducted using three core elements of good governance—transparency, accountability, and responsiveness, the study found that there were poor practices of good governance in urban land administration. On the other hand, the study investigated various challenges of good governance in urban land administration, which emanate from personal, administrative, and socio-economic problems such as the absence of innovative figures of land registration, lack of monitoring and evaluation, inadequate institutional performance, and absence of reward and punishment systems. In general, the findings of this study revealed that due to various challenges, there were poor practices of good governance in terms of transparency, accountability, and responsiveness in the study area. These challenges impede people’s access to quality service in urban areas and undermine the trust between citizens and the government. Finally, enhancing institutional capacity, consistent implementations of monitoring and evaluation, innovative figures of land registration, and giving corrective measures for wrongdoers were stated as recommendations.
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Practices and Chanllenges of Implementing Early Childhood care and Education in Bahir Dar City Adminstration, Ethiopia
Journal Article
Asmamaw Ashete Wendie and Kelemu Zelalem Berhanu Submitted: Jun 07, 2025
Educational and Behavioral Sciences Special Needs and Inclusive Education
Abstract Preview:
Early childhood care and education (ECCE) is the basis for the enduring instillationof personal habits and societal ideals. Thus, the study aimed to investigate the practiceand challenges of implementing ECCE in Bahir Dar city administration, Ethiopia. To thisend, a qualitative research approach with a multiple case study design was used. Quali-tative data were collected from 40 participants (ECCE teachers, caregivers, unit leaders,school principals, and Bahir Dar city administration education experts). Observation,interviewing, and focus group discussion were used as data collection instruments. Asa result, ECCE was poorly implemented. By and large, the finding of this study identi-fied many challenges that inhibit the successful implementation of ECCE, such as lackof teachers and caregivers’ training, poor physical environment, inadequate resources/facilities, inappropriate teacher–student ratio, and unrealistic demands of parents.These hindrances increase learning gaps that widen over time, contributing to higherdropout rates and reduced literacy levels. The study results would have importantimplications for the advancement of the ECCE program. Additionally, the findingsmight inform policymakers and educators on areas that require further developmentor intervention, ultimately contributing to improving of early childhood learningexperiences.Keywords: Caregivers, Challenges, Early childhood care and education, Practice, Teachers
Full Abstract:
Early childhood care and education (ECCE) is the basis for the enduring instillationof personal habits and societal ideals. Thus, the study aimed to investigate the practiceand challenges of implementing ECCE in Bahir Dar city administration, Ethiopia. To thisend, a qualitative research approach with a multiple case study design was used. Quali-tative data were collected from 40 participants (ECCE teachers, caregivers, unit leaders,school principals, and Bahir Dar city administration education experts). Observation,interviewing, and focus group discussion were used as data collection instruments. Asa result, ECCE was poorly implemented. By and large, the finding of this study identi-fied many challenges that inhibit the successful implementation of ECCE, such as lackof teachers and caregivers’ training, poor physical environment, inadequate resources/facilities, inappropriate teacher–student ratio, and unrealistic demands of parents.These hindrances increase learning gaps that widen over time, contributing to higherdropout rates and reduced literacy levels. The study results would have importantimplications for the advancement of the ECCE program. Additionally, the findingsmight inform policymakers and educators on areas that require further developmentor intervention, ultimately contributing to improving of early childhood learningexperiences.Keywords: Caregivers, Challenges, Early childhood care and education, Practice, Teachers
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Predicting the risks of Diabetes Mellitus and Hypertension Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Cross-Sectional Study
Research Paper
Getachew A. Demessie PhD in Mathematics - PIBewketu T. Bekele PhD in Mathematics - PIAtsede A. Ewunetie Master in Public Health (Asst. Prof.) - PIHaymanot Tewabe MSc in Clinical Chemistry - Co-IMelisew A. Birlie MSc in Mathematics - Co-IAmare W. Ayele MSc in Applied Statistics Statistics (Asst. Prof.) - Co-IHabtam E. Aynie MSc in Mathematics - Co-I Submitted: Nov 05, 2025
Natural & Computational Sciences Mathematics
Abstract Preview:
Executive Summary Background and objectivesDiabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HTN) are leading causes of cardiovascular disease, death, and disability, with a growing burden in developing countries. Early detection is essential, and machine learning (ML) offers powerful tools for predicting diseases risk by uncovering complex patterns in health data. At the same time, the Health Belief Model (HBM) explains preventive behaviors through constructs such as perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, barriers, self-efficacy, and cues to action. This study integrates ML-based predictive modeling with the HBM to identify individuals at risk of HTN and DM and to better understand the behavioral factors influencing prevention, employing a dataset collected in 2025. Materials and methodsData on DM and hypertension HTN were collected from 1,771 employees of Debre Markos, Injibara, and Bahir Dar universities in Northwest Ethiopia. The cross-sectional survey included demographic, health-related, and behavioral factors, with constructs from the Health Belief Model (HBM) such as perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, barriers, self-efficacy, and cues to action. RFE was applied to identify the most relevant predictors of DM and HTN. Four machine learning algorithms—Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) were developed using theselected features. Model performance was evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, the F1-score, and the area under the ROC curve. ResultsThis study found that the ensemble ML models, RF and GBDT, outperformed in predicting HTN and DM, achieving higher accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve. Analysis of Health Belief Model (HBM) constructs further showed that preventive behaviors were positively associated with perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, self-efficacy, and cues to action, while perceived barriers were negatively associated. Perceived susceptibility emerged as a significant predictor of HTN and DM, and cues to action contributed to the identification of undiagnosed DM cases.
Full Abstract:
Executive Summary Background and objectivesDiabetes mellitus (DM) and hypertension (HTN) are leading causes of cardiovascular disease, death, and disability, with a growing burden in developing countries. Early detection is essential, and machine learning (ML) offers powerful tools for predicting diseases risk by uncovering complex patterns in health data. At the same time, the Health Belief Model (HBM) explains preventive behaviors through constructs such as perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, barriers, self-efficacy, and cues to action. This study integrates ML-based predictive modeling with the HBM to identify individuals at risk of HTN and DM and to better understand the behavioral factors influencing prevention, employing a dataset collected in 2025. Materials and methodsData on DM and hypertension HTN were collected from 1,771 employees of Debre Markos, Injibara, and Bahir Dar universities in Northwest Ethiopia. The cross-sectional survey included demographic, health-related, and behavioral factors, with constructs from the Health Belief Model (HBM) such as perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, barriers, self-efficacy, and cues to action. RFE was applied to identify the most relevant predictors of DM and HTN. Four machine learning algorithms—Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) were developed using theselected features. Model performance was evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, the F1-score, and the area under the ROC curve. ResultsThis study found that the ensemble ML models, RF and GBDT, outperformed in predicting HTN and DM, achieving higher accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve. Analysis of Health Belief Model (HBM) constructs further showed that preventive behaviors were positively associated with perceived susceptibility, severity, benefits, self-efficacy, and cues to action, while perceived barriers were negatively associated. Perceived susceptibility emerged as a significant predictor of HTN and DM, and cues to action contributed to the identification of undiagnosed DM cases.
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Predictors of youth unemployment duration and impact evaluation of job creation program in East Gojjam Zone
Journal Article
Nigusie Gashaye Shita 1*, Metadel Azeze Mekonnen1, Yeshiwas Ewinetu Tegegne2, Misganaw Mekonnen Nigussie1, Awoke Fetahi Woudneh1 Submitted: Apr 04, 2025
Natural & Computational Sciences Statistics
Abstract Preview:
Youth unemployment in the East Gojjam Zone is a critical issue. This study focuses onidentifying the factors that influence unemployment duration and evaluating the impact ofjob creation programs on the well-being of youth in this region. We employed Cox regres-sion to analyze the determinants of unemployment duration and used propensity scorematching to assess the welfare effects of job creation initiatives. Our multistage clustersampling revealed a youth unemployment rate of 33.3% (95% CI: 27.3–39.3). Over half ofthe unemployed youth transitioned to employment within four years, with 25% securingjobs within two years. Participation in job creation programs led to an average earningsincrease of 1,069.716 birr, though retention in these programs was low at 49%. The find-ings reveal a connection between prolonged unemployment, skill mismatches, financialconstraints, limited work experience, weak social networks, low income, and a preferencefor public-sector employment. To effectively address these challenges, interventions mustfocus on improving job accessibility, aligning vocational training with labor market needs,promoting financial inclusion, and enhancing social support systems.
Full Abstract:
Youth unemployment in the East Gojjam Zone is a critical issue. This study focuses onidentifying the factors that influence unemployment duration and evaluating the impact ofjob creation programs on the well-being of youth in this region. We employed Cox regres-sion to analyze the determinants of unemployment duration and used propensity scorematching to assess the welfare effects of job creation initiatives. Our multistage clustersampling revealed a youth unemployment rate of 33.3% (95% CI: 27.3–39.3). Over half ofthe unemployed youth transitioned to employment within four years, with 25% securingjobs within two years. Participation in job creation programs led to an average earningsincrease of 1,069.716 birr, though retention in these programs was low at 49%. The find-ings reveal a connection between prolonged unemployment, skill mismatches, financialconstraints, limited work experience, weak social networks, low income, and a preferencefor public-sector employment. To effectively address these challenges, interventions mustfocus on improving job accessibility, aligning vocational training with labor market needs,promoting financial inclusion, and enhancing social support systems.
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Prevalence and Associated Factors of Multidimensional Poverty among Rural Households in East Gojjam Zone, Northern Ethiopia: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study
Journal Article
Amare Wubishet Ayele, Yeshiwas Ewinetu, Asefa Delesho, Yirsie Alemayehu, and Hayimro Edemealem Submitted: May 10, 2025
Business and Economics Economics
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Backgrounds Poverty is a complex and multifaceted global public health issue, particularly prevalent in Ethiopia,including the East Gojjam Zone. Previous studies on poverty have largely relied on unidimensional measures,providing limited evidence on multidimensional poverty (MP). Therefore, this study tried to assess the prevalenceand identify the associated factors of MP among rural households in selected woredas of East Gojjam Zone, NorthernEthiopia.Methods A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in the fall of 2020 in randomly selectedworedas of East Gojjam zone, involving 770 rural households. Multistage cluster sampling was used, and data werecollected through structured, interviewer-administered questionnaires covering eleven MP indicators. The globalmultidimensional poverty index (MPI) was applied to assess poverty status. The multivariable partial proportionalodds model (PPOM) was employed to identify the associated factors of MP, and variables with a p-value < 0.05 wereconsidered as significant.Results Among 770 rural households considered 37.27% (25.45% moderately and 11.82% severely) of them wereclassified as multidimensionally poor. The standard of living dimension accounted for the largest contribution to MP.Household head aged, 30–45years (AOR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.01, 3.15) and those over 45 years (AOR = 2.75, 95% CI: 1.42,5.33), weather condition(Kolla) (AOR = 1.79, 95%CI: 1.05, 3.07), experiencing drought in the preceding 12 months(AOR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.12, 2.41), dependency ratio (AOR = 1.34, 95%CI: 1.13,1.59), and adult equivalence (AOR = 1.13,95%CI: 1.07,1.19) were more likely to experience MP. Conversely, marital status (being married) (AOR = 0.36, 95%CI:0.21, 0.64), woreda, Machakel (AOR = 0.56, 95%CI: 0.36, 0.86), Sinan (AOR = 0.53, 95%CI: 0.29, 0.95), and road accessibilityin the village (AOR = 0.55, 95%CI: 0.37, 0.81) were significantly associated with lower odds of MP among ruralhouseholds in the study area.
Conclusion: Approximately 37% of rural household’s experience moderate to severe MP, and living standardsdimension accounted for the largest contribution. Various socio-demographic, agro-ecological, and related factorshave been identified to rural MP. To address this issue, stakeholders should prioritize to promote climate-resilientagriculture and strengthening drought coping mechanisms. Furthermore, it is essential to account for the variations inpoverty levels across different administrative units and ecological zones to effectively eradicate poverty among ruralhouseholds.Keywords: East Gojjam zone, Ethiopia, Multidimensional poverty, Partial proportional odds model, Rural household
Full Abstract:
Backgrounds Poverty is a complex and multifaceted global public health issue, particularly prevalent in Ethiopia,including the East Gojjam Zone. Previous studies on poverty have largely relied on unidimensional measures,providing limited evidence on multidimensional poverty (MP). Therefore, this study tried to assess the prevalenceand identify the associated factors of MP among rural households in selected woredas of East Gojjam Zone, NorthernEthiopia.Methods A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in the fall of 2020 in randomly selectedworedas of East Gojjam zone, involving 770 rural households. Multistage cluster sampling was used, and data werecollected through structured, interviewer-administered questionnaires covering eleven MP indicators. The globalmultidimensional poverty index (MPI) was applied to assess poverty status. The multivariable partial proportionalodds model (PPOM) was employed to identify the associated factors of MP, and variables with a p-value < 0.05 wereconsidered as significant.Results Among 770 rural households considered 37.27% (25.45% moderately and 11.82% severely) of them wereclassified as multidimensionally poor. The standard of living dimension accounted for the largest contribution to MP.Household head aged, 30–45years (AOR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.01, 3.15) and those over 45 years (AOR = 2.75, 95% CI: 1.42,5.33), weather condition(Kolla) (AOR = 1.79, 95%CI: 1.05, 3.07), experiencing drought in the preceding 12 months(AOR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.12, 2.41), dependency ratio (AOR = 1.34, 95%CI: 1.13,1.59), and adult equivalence (AOR = 1.13,95%CI: 1.07,1.19) were more likely to experience MP. Conversely, marital status (being married) (AOR = 0.36, 95%CI:0.21, 0.64), woreda, Machakel (AOR = 0.56, 95%CI: 0.36, 0.86), Sinan (AOR = 0.53, 95%CI: 0.29, 0.95), and road accessibilityin the village (AOR = 0.55, 95%CI: 0.37, 0.81) were significantly associated with lower odds of MP among ruralhouseholds in the study area.
Conclusion: Approximately 37% of rural household’s experience moderate to severe MP, and living standardsdimension accounted for the largest contribution. Various socio-demographic, agro-ecological, and related factorshave been identified to rural MP. To address this issue, stakeholders should prioritize to promote climate-resilientagriculture and strengthening drought coping mechanisms. Furthermore, it is essential to account for the variations inpoverty levels across different administrative units and ecological zones to effectively eradicate poverty among ruralhouseholds.Keywords: East Gojjam zone, Ethiopia, Multidimensional poverty, Partial proportional odds model, Rural household
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